One of the hottest topics in geo-engineering is that of
injecting aerosols into the stratosphere, primarily sulphate aerosols. The idea behind such proposed methods was
first mentioned by Budyka in 1974 and is inspired by nature itself; the
stratosphere contains a layer of aerosols that scatter solar radiation away
from the earth and are therefore contributing to the planetary albedo. There are two options for this method,
engineered aerosols or sulphate particles. Despite the potential offered by the engineered approach,
sulphate particles are considered a more viable option at present as they
require somewhat less research; they would be simple to implement and we
already know a fair amount about the effects of dramatically increasing sulphate
aerosols due to explosive volcanoes.
Volcanic climate
forcing …
Volcanic eruptions project vast volumes of debris into the
atmosphere; sulphur dioxide (SO2) emitted during the eruption oxidises in the
atmosphere to form Sulphuric aerosols. If larger enough eruptions can deposit SO2 into the stratosphere where it is retained long enough to subsequently
increase the global albedo and reduce solar radiation reaching the surface, inducing
a net cooling. Due to a combination of instrumental and palaeo- ice core
records we have a good record by which to correlate volcanism with climate:
Mount Pinatubo (McCormick et al., 1995)
The infamous Mount Pinatubo
eruption of 1991 produced 20 x 1012 g
(20 Tg) of SO2. Compared
with an average of 1958-91, there was a cooling of 4.3Wm-2 between 40 N and 40 S and
average decline of 0.7 degrees C globally.
By 1993, however, the radiation balance was reinstated, thus the perturbation
was short-lived.
Palaeo-records
However, the palaeo-record has
enabled us to extend our understanding back beyond this instrumental period,
during which time has been very explosive volcanism has been limited. GISP2 ice-core records have revealed
that not only are volcanic injections of sulphate aerosols capable of inducing
short term climate cooling, but that the cumulative effect of frequent, large
scale eruptions can result in persistently cooler global temperatures. Such frequent and explosive volcanism
is coincident with, and thus considered to have at least partially been the
cause of cooling in the early Holocene (Zeilinski et al., 1994; Bradley, 2003)
and the latter half of the Maunder Minimum (Bradley, 2003). As such, it can be
established that, although the cooling effect of sulphate injections are
relatively short-lived, continual or frequent contributions into the
stratosphere can induce persistent cooler global temperatures.
It can be concluded therefore that based on current
knowledge, this appears to be a highly effective option and efficient which
would demonstrate results in little over a year.
How?
There are a whole variety of ideas being explored. The main ideas include distribution
into the stratosphere via planes, artillery fire and stratospheric
balloons. At present the most
viable option would be that of the plane, as the military already use the
necessary specification of aircraft; some modifications would be required but
near immediate implementation could occur. Other ideas, which at this stage in their development
sounds a bit far-fetched to say the least, include a tall tower potentially
reaching upto 114km, using balloons for support and a space elevator running on solar power (Robock, 2009)…
But what are the
risks?
- Change in regional precipitations leading to drought in Africa and Asia
- H2SO4 deposition
- Ozone depletion
- No more blue skies
- Less solar power
- Environmental impact of implementation
And the cost:
Table 1. Adapted from Robock (2009). The costs for different methods of
injecting 1Tg of a Sulphur gas per year into the stratosphere
|
Method
|
Annual
Cost ($)
|
|
planes
|
225,000,000 – 4,175,000,000
|
|
Artillary fire
|
30,000,000,000
|
|
Balloons
|
21,000,000,000 – 30,000,000,000
|
Conclusion
The efficiency and feasibility of this method renders it a
strong possibility. Modes of
implementation are available, thus there would be no delay reliant on
developing the necessary technologies.
And though the costs are large, they are substantially reduced in
comparison to those proposed through space-based SRM, and are cheaper than
investing in technologies as an alternative to CO2 emissions. The next blog will be looking at the environmental risks more closely.
There are some interesting studies which look at the impact of Clean Air Acts since the 1950s, which have sought to control SO2 and SO4 in the atmosphere (i.e. following on from acid rain and smog events), with global increases in average temps.
ReplyDeleteThere was also a paper just published last week which looked at aerosols from pollution and impact on summer monsoons....
http://www.sciencemag.org/content/334/6055/502.short
Thanks Anson, I'll take a look!
ReplyDelete